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Fueled by the analytics movement and sharpshooters like Stephen Curry, teams this season are shooting an average of In the modern NBA, more than one in three shots taken is a three-pointer.
Last season, the Houston Rockets became the first team to ever take more threes than twos in a season, an astounding statistic for a shot that once seemed more like a gimmick than anything else. Just a couple weeks ago, the Rockets fired a record 70 threes in a single game against the Nets. While expanded use of the three-point shot has led to a faster-paced, higher-scoring, and arguably more interesting game to the common fan, many traditionalists would argue the heavy emphasis on flashy three-point shooting is eroding fundamental basketball, and that the league should move back the three-point line to combat the distance shooting evolution.
However, I have recently heard a very intriguing proposal to add a new element of strategy to the three-ball. That idea? Allow home teams to decide where to place the three-point line. You heard me right. There could potentially be 30 different arcs.
As a hypothetical, this idea is so much fun. But before you rule it out as a serious change, there is some precedent for different playing field dimensions in major sports. Just take a look at baseball, where each stadium has different home run distances. In this system, the NBA would likely set a minimum and maximum three-point distance and require teams to submit their chosen dimensions before the season.
This is where we could see some interesting strategic decisions. Sure, guys like Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are capable of hitting footers, but these are not the most efficient shots possible. If you have the best distance shooters in the league, you want to maximize your advantage by increasing the number of threes taken per game, which would mean moving the line closer to the basket. For poorer shooting teams, I would suggest moving the line back to at least 25 feet.
More importantly, though, and this is really the benefit of a foot three-point line, it eliminates the corner three, as a basketball court is only 50 feet wide. Of course, this all assumes the NBA sets specific rules for how short or long the three-point shot can be. Want to eliminate threes entirely? Make the three-point line 40 feet! Giannis and Ben Simmons become the most valuable players in the league!
What if you could make the restricted area or just dunks worth three, and everything else worth two? You could allow hotspots or unevenly drawn lines. Allow teams to tailor their line game-to-game to match their opponent.
What if the three-point line was only in play for the fourth quarter or moved closer in the fourth to increase comeback potential?
Lastly, some secondary effects of allowing teams to choose their own three-point distance. It would make analytical comparisons more difficult, as the lack of three-point equivalency would inflate the stats of those playing in courts with shorter lines, similar to how shorter fences lead to inflated home run totals in the MLB. The changes would also lead to stronger home-court advantages, unique draft and free agency strategies, and overall a bit more parity in the league, which I think are probably?
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Fueled by the analytics movement and sharpshooters like Stephen Curry, teams this season are shooting an average of In the modern NBA, more than one in three shots taken is a three-pointer. Last season, the Houston Rockets became the first team to ever take more threes than twos in a season, an astounding statistic for a shot that once seemed more like a gimmick than anything else. Just a couple weeks ago, the Rockets fired a record 70 threes in a single game against the Nets. While expanded use of the three-point shot has led to a faster-paced, higher-scoring, and arguably more interesting game to the common fan, many traditionalists would argue the heavy emphasis on flashy three-point shooting is eroding fundamental basketball, and that the league should move back the three-point line to combat the distance shooting evolution. However, I have recently heard a very intriguing proposal to add a new element of strategy to the three-ball. That idea? Allow home teams to decide where to place the three-point line.
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